Saturday, August 1, 2015

Windows 10 400 from Pocono Post #2: Projections and Optimal Lineup




Many of you were interested in our full projection set for the PGA Quicken Loans National, so here they are for the NASCAR Windows 10 400.  
 
This set is based on qualifying and historical results only so I didn’t have any projections for Reed Sorensen, Alex Kennedy, Travis Kvapil or Timmy Hill.  They haven’t raced enough this year to qualify for some statistical relevance (and I am pretty broad in that sense).  

The optimal lineup is as follows:

  • Kurt Busch
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Joey Logano
  • Matt Kenseth
  • Justin Allgaier
  • Cole Whitt


Full Projections are below:
Name
Salary
Projected Fantasy Points
Kurt Busch
10100
53.09919591
Kevin Harvick
11700
47.4203853
Joey Logano
9400
47.38873965
Brad Keselowski
9400
46.72897995
Martin Truex Jr
10300
46.50745653
Kyle Busch
10800
44.52330647
Matt Kenseth
9000
39.845626
Dale Earnhardt Jr
9200
35.27258909
Jamie McMurray
8100
30.8878739
Denny Hamlin
9300
29.59522532
Jimmie Johnson
10400
29.57377418
Casey Mears
6500
27.14595965
Clint Bowyer
7700
26.04096934
Ryan Newman
7600
24.07655023
Carl Edwards
8500
22.34695178
Kasey Kahne
8700
20.70958383
Kyle Larson
8300
18.76008858
Trevor Bayne
6600
18.61092267
Cole Whitt
5800
18.45416479
Justin Allgaier
6200
18.36393365
Austin Dillon
7500
17.73376182
Tony Stewart
7900
16.68325205
Landon Cassill
6100
16.63820359
Greg Biffle
7100
15.73009143
Brett Moffitt
5800
14.35656134
Paul Menard
7400
13.6020072
Matt DiBenedetto
6000
12.48613538
David Gilliland
6000
11.2731246
Danica Patrick
6500
7.305987389
AJ Allmendinger
6300
6.797326628
J.J. Yeley
5800
6.500134822
Michael Annett
5900
4.971852034
Jeb Burton
5800
4.709986824
Aric Almirola
6300
3.949896467
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
6400
3.835354157
Jeff Gordon
9300
1.934070615
Sam Hornish Jr
6400
0.6693741
Alex Bowman
5900
-0.329144284
David Ragan
7000
-4.575371713

Good luck this weekend & ABI,
Rob

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