After looking at qualifying for tomorrow’s
NASCAR Cheez It 355 at Watkins Glen, here are some thoughts and projections.
·
Kevin Harvick ($10,000) – Harvick vastly
underperforms his usual self on road courses (see NASCAR Cheez It 355 Post
#1). However, he’s so good on average
and he ran well in qualifying (he starts 4th), that he overcomes
that and is projected to have the highest score at Watkins Glen tomorrow.
·
Martin Truex Jr ($8,800) & Jimmie Johnson ($8,900) – Martin & Jimmie project to have the 4th and 5th
highest scores tomorrow. With them both
under $9,000, they are slam dunks in any lineup.
·
AJ Allmendinger ($10,200) – AJ is a lot
better on road courses than on average.
He’s starting at the front for the Cheez it 355 tomorrow and is a good
option to place highly. He’s expensive
though so if you can afford him, go for it.
Optimal
Lineup
Name
|
Salary
|
Kevin
Harvick
|
$10,000
|
Martin
Truex Jr
|
$8,800
|
Jimmie
Johnson
|
$8,900
|
Dale
Earnhardt Jr
|
$8,200
|
Clint
Bowyer
|
$8,300
|
Cole
Whitt
|
$5,600
|
Full
Projections
Name
|
Salary
|
Projected
Points
|
Kevin Harvick
|
$10,000
|
57.4
|
Kurt Busch
|
$10,400
|
51.3
|
AJ Allmendinger
|
$10,200
|
49.1
|
Martin Truex Jr
|
$8,800
|
48.4
|
Jimmie Johnson
|
$8,900
|
46.7
|
Kyle Busch
|
$10,500
|
43.7
|
Dale Earnhardt Jr
|
$8,200
|
43.4
|
Clint Bowyer
|
$8,300
|
36.9
|
Brad Keselowski
|
$9,900
|
31.6
|
Boris Said
|
$6,400
|
28.7
|
Jeff Gordon
|
$8,700
|
27.4
|
Jamie McMurray
|
$7,900
|
26.6
|
Joey Logano
|
$9,600
|
26.6
|
Aric Almirola
|
$6,800
|
24.4
|
Denny Hamlin
|
$7,600
|
23.2
|
Ryan Newman
|
$7,500
|
23.0
|
Matt Kenseth
|
$8,100
|
22.4
|
Cole Whitt
|
$5,600
|
20.3
|
Greg Biffle
|
$7,400
|
20.2
|
Matt DiBenedetto
|
$5,600
|
20.2
|
Kasey Kahne
|
$8,000
|
19.6
|
Sam Hornish Jr
|
$7,800
|
19.1
|
Chris Buescher
|
$5,600
|
19.1
|
Carl Edwards
|
$9,200
|
18.7
|
Casey Mears
|
$6,700
|
18.2
|
Tony Stewart
|
$8,800
|
18.1
|
Paul Menard
|
$7,300
|
17.5
|
Alex Kennedy
|
$5,600
|
16.8
|
David Gilliland
|
$6,000
|
16.2
|
Kyle Larson
|
$7,500
|
15.1
|
Justin Allgaier
|
$6,600
|
14.9
|
Danica Patrick
|
$6,600
|
13.7
|
Austin Dillon
|
$6,600
|
13.5
|
Trevor Bayne
|
$6,100
|
13.2
|
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
|
$6,500
|
11.4
|
Alex Bowman
|
$5,700
|
10.4
|
J.J. Yeley
|
$5,700
|
10.2
|
Timmy Hill
|
$5,600
|
9.5
|
Landon Cassill
|
$5,900
|
8.2
|
Michael Annett
|
$5,800
|
6.0
|
Jeb Burton
|
$5,700
|
4.9
|
Michael McDowell
|
$5,600
|
4.3
|
David Ragan
|
$6,200
|
1.6
|
You’re in for a high variance race
tomorrow. Good luck and ABI,
Rob
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