PGA Tour Championship Post #2 – Full Projections and Optimal Lineup

If you’re looking for picks, check out post 1.

As promised our full projections and optimal lineup are below:

Optimal Lineup

·        Jason Day

·        Bubba Watson

·        J.B. Holmes

·        Brooks Koepka

·        Kevin Na

·        Danny Lee

Name	Salary	Total
Jason Day	$12,500	106.21
Jordan Spieth	$11,000	90.44
Rory McIlroy	$11,700	88.42
Henrik Stenson	$10,500	82.93
Bubba Watson	$8,700	80.91
Justin Rose	$9,800	80.00
Dustin Johnson	$9,100	79.92
Rickie Fowler	$10,300	79.50
Brooks Koepka	$7,300	74.76
Hideki Matsuyama	$8,000	74.56
Zach Johnson	$8,500	73.44
Matt Kuchar	$7,800	71.60
J.B. Holmes	$7,400	71.38
Paul Casey	$7,500	71.28
Patrick Reed	$7,600	70.70
Louis Oosthuizen	$7,700	69.39
Robert Streb	$7,300	69.34
Danny Lee	$7,000	68.33
Charley Hoffman	$7,200	68.30
Jim Furyk	$7,900	68.27
Kevin Na	$7,100	67.51
Scott Piercy	$7,100	67.49
Brandt Snedeker	$7,300	67.40
Jimmy Walker	$6,900	67.26
Daniel Berger	$7,200	67.24
Harris English	$7,000	66.75
Steven Bowditch	$6,700	66.42
Bill Haas	$7,300	66.29
Kevin Kisner	$7,200	66.18
Sang-Moon Bae	$6,800	63.09

Good luck and ABI.

PGA Tour Championships Post #1 – Our Picks

We had a satisfactory week last week with a $6 cash with our optimal lineup after Jason Day lit the world on fire, cementing his position as the best golfer in the world.

This week, we’re at the PGA Tour Championships from East Lake Golf Course.  This course is a par 70 at just over 7,000 yards.  We only have 30 golfers to choose from this week so if you’re in a large field GPP you might lean towards picking some of the lesser used guys and leaving some salary on the board.

As always, the salary information used is from DraftKings, if you don’t have an account, sign up here.  In addition, the statistics and betting odds used to generate my projections are found on the PGA Tour website and Paddy Power.

Stay tuned later today for the second post containing the full projections.

Our Favorites

·        Jason Day ($12,500) – Jason Day has 4 wins out of his last 6 tournaments and is the betting favorite.  He’s the best golfer in the world right now.  The only downside to Day is that I’m sure most of the tournament field will have a piece of him and he’s a very highly priced option.  If he wins this weekend, it’ll be tough to differentiate ourselves.

·        Jordan Spieth ($11,000) – Spieth has the highest birdie or better on Par 4 holes on tour.  This is the key reason to his high projection this week (scoring 2^nd behind Day).  He’s been struggling of late which may cause some of the punters to leave him out of their lineups.  He’s too good of a golfer to not jump up the standings and had a 106 fantasy point performance last week.  I was on his boat last week and I think you should be too.

·        Brooks Koepka ($7,300) – Brooks finished 49^th last week for 74 fantasy points.  Prior to that, he was cut twice in a row.  He still projects decently well and because he’s $7,300, he’s hard to hold out of your lineups (especially if you have high priced talent on the top of your lineups).  He’s been the best value pick all summer and I don’t see any reason to not choose him this weekend.

·        Dustin Johnson ($9,100) – Dustin projects to have the 4^th highest single round score in my model.  He has the 4^th highest birdie or better rate on tour behind the previously mentioned Day, Spieth and Koepka.  He has two 100+ fantasy point weekends out of his last 4 tournaments and at the 7^th highest price tag, he’s a steal at East Lake.

Injuries

·         Jim Furyk ($7,900) – Jim Furyk withdrew last week due to a wrist contusion.  According to ESPN, he will NOT be playing this weekend.

Stay tuned on Wednesday for full projections and optimal lineup.  Good luck this weekend and ABI.

PGA BMW Championships – Post #2 – Full Projections and Optimal Lineup

As promised, here are the full projections and optimal lineup for this weekend’s BMW Championships on DraftKings.  We made our picks in Post #1, if you haven’t read it, see it here. 

Optimal Lineup

·         Jason Day

·         Brooks Koepka

·         Justin Thomas

·         J.B. Holmes

·         Jason Bohn

·         Shawn Stefani

Name	Salary	Projected Total
Jason Day	$12,600	108.49
Jordan Spieth	$11,600	92.10
Rory McIlroy	$12,100	91.17
Henrik Stenson	$11,400	85.54
Bubba Watson	$10,200	84.19
Rickie Fowler	$10,700	81.79
Dustin Johnson	$10,400	81.43
Brooks Koepka	$8,200	79.55
Hideki Matsuyama	$8,900	77.63
Justin Rose	$9,800	76.77
Zach Johnson	$9,500	76.44
Justin Thomas	$7,600	76.04
Jim Furyk	$10,000	74.89
Matt Kuchar	$9,200	74.50
Patrick Reed	$8,700	72.94
Sergio Garcia	$8,600	72.38
Paul Casey	$7,800	72.31
Robert Streb	$8,000	72.15
Brandt Snedeker	$7,900	71.60
Tony Finau	$7,600	71.46
Louis Oosthuizen	$8,400	71.43
Charley Hoffman	$8,100	71.38
J.B. Holmes	$7,500	71.37
Danny Lee	$7,700	71.14
Matt Jones	$7,900	71.07
Webb Simpson	$7,600	70.46
Jason Bohn	$7,200	70.37
Phil Mickelson	$7,800	69.97
Jimmy Walker	$7,400	69.34
Harris English	$7,400	69.20
Kevin Kisner	$8,100	68.51
Hunter Mahan	$8,000	68.15
Rory Sabbatini	$7,300	67.67
Brendan Steele	$7,400	67.63
Russell Henley	$7,500	67.63
Billy Horschel	$7,500	67.51
Ryan Palmer	$7,300	67.38
Kevin Na	$7,200	67.28
Keegan Bradley	$7,800	67.09
Shawn Stefani	$6,900	67.09
Ryan Moore	$7,400	66.54
Kevin Chappell	$7,500	66.43
Chris Kirk	$7,300	66.32
Pat Perez	$7,200	66.29
Daniel Summerhays	$7,400	66.15
Steven Bowditch	$7,000	65.77
Russell Knox	$7,400	65.57
David Lingmerth	$7,300	65.55
Ian Poulter	$7,200	65.51
Ben Martin	$7,100	65.35
Daniel Berger	$6,800	65.07
Scott Piercy	$6,900	64.95
Sean O'Hair	$7,200	64.66
Bill Haas	$7,400	64.27
Jerry Kelly	$7,000	64.15
Gary Woodland	$7,400	63.66
Brian Harman	$7,100	63.57
Bryce Molder	$6,800	63.38
Nick Watney	$7,000	63.37
Brendon de Jonge	$6,800	63.02
George McNeill	$6,800	62.71
William McGirt	$7,000	62.48
David Hearn	$6,800	62.10
James Hahn	$6,700	62.00
Brendon Todd	$7,000	61.95
Sangmoon Bae	$7,000	61.77
Zac Blair	$6,800	60.99
Fabian Gomez	$6,600	58.84
Cameron Tringale	$6,800	58.45
Troy Merritt	$6,700	58.26

Good luck and ABI