Wednesday, September 23, 2015

PGA Tour Championships Post #1 – Our Picks


We had a satisfactory week last week with a $6 cash with our optimal lineup after Jason Day lit the world on fire, cementing his position as the best golfer in the world.

This week, we’re at the PGA Tour Championships from East Lake Golf Course.  This course is a par 70 at just over 7,000 yards.  We only have 30 golfers to choose from this week so if you’re in a large field GPP you might lean towards picking some of the lesser used guys and leaving some salary on the board.

As always, the salary information used is from DraftKings, if you don’t have an account, sign up here.  In addition, the statistics and betting odds used to generate my projections are found on the PGA Tour website and Paddy Power.

Stay tuned later today for the second post containing the full projections.

Our Favorites

·        Jason Day ($12,500) – Jason Day has 4 wins out of his last 6 tournaments and is the betting favorite.  He’s the best golfer in the world right now.  The only downside to Day is that I’m sure most of the tournament field will have a piece of him and he’s a very highly priced option.  If he wins this weekend, it’ll be tough to differentiate ourselves.

·        Jordan Spieth ($11,000) – Spieth has the highest birdie or better on Par 4 holes on tour.  This is the key reason to his high projection this week (scoring 2nd behind Day).  He’s been struggling of late which may cause some of the punters to leave him out of their lineups.  He’s too good of a golfer to not jump up the standings and had a 106 fantasy point performance last week.  I was on his boat last week and I think you should be too.

·        Brooks Koepka ($7,300) – Brooks finished 49th last week for 74 fantasy points.  Prior to that, he was cut twice in a row.  He still projects decently well and because he’s $7,300, he’s hard to hold out of your lineups (especially if you have high priced talent on the top of your lineups).  He’s been the best value pick all summer and I don’t see any reason to not choose him this weekend.

·        Dustin Johnson ($9,100) – Dustin projects to have the 4th highest single round score in my model.  He has the 4th highest birdie or better rate on tour behind the previously mentioned Day, Spieth and Koepka.  He has two 100+ fantasy point weekends out of his last 4 tournaments and at the 7th highest price tag, he’s a steal at East Lake.

Injuries
·         Jim Furyk ($7,900) – Jim Furyk withdrew last week due to a wrist contusion.  According to ESPN, he will NOT be playing this weekend.

Stay tuned on Wednesday for full projections and optimal lineup.  Good luck this weekend and ABI.

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