Let’s talk about the NASCAR Sprint Cup Windows 10 400 on August 2nd, 2015 at the Pocono Raceway in Long Pond, Pennsylvania.
There's an old joke that goes: What if Bill Gates had a time for every time Windows Vista crashed? Oh wait! He already does!
This Sunday, crashes won't be paying anyone (except maybe DraftKings who always seems to get paid...)
DraftKings is running a $3 entry NASCAR contest with a top prize of $10,000 – if you don’t have a DK account sign up here.
Some Notes:
- DraftKings has adjusted the scoring for NASCAR events this weekend – they no longer include Pass Differential.
- DraftKings has adjusted the number of NASCAR drivers picked to 6 from 5.
When I look at NASCAR events prior to looking at qualifying results,
I’m always looking at track performance.
I summarized the key track performance indicators, courtesy of driveraverages.com, into the table
below. Driver Rating is a great stat to
use when predicting NASCAR results as it summarizes all of the fantasy
indicators into a single number. The table
below should help you start thinking about your lineups. Once qualifying and practice results are in
on Saturday, be sure to check back here for more analysis, projections and
insights.
Driver
|
Avg Finish
|
Races
|
Avg Driver Rating At
Pocono
|
Avg Driver Rating over
Last 36
|
How Much Better At
Pocono*?
|
||||||
David Stremme
|
29
|
2
|
48.9
|
34.7
|
140.9%
|
||||||
Tony Stewart
|
16.6
|
5
|
88.9
|
69.9
|
127.2%
|
||||||
Dave Blaney
|
30.75
|
4
|
42.2
|
33.3
|
126.7%
|
||||||
Travis Kvapil
|
27
|
5
|
47.6
|
39
|
122.1%
|
||||||
Greg Biffle
|
9
|
5
|
85.1
|
70.5
|
120.7%
|
||||||
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
|
4.2
|
5
|
116.9
|
98.6
|
118.6%
|
||||||
Timmy Hill
|
32.67
|
3
|
33.7
|
28.7
|
117.4%
|
||||||
Justin Allgaier
|
21
|
3
|
68.1
|
58
|
117.4%
|
||||||
Kurt Busch
|
6.2
|
5
|
114.3
|
101.4
|
112.7%
|
||||||
Bobby Labonte
|
23
|
2
|
58.4
|
51.9
|
112.5%
|
||||||
Michael Annett
|
25.33
|
3
|
51.1
|
45.7
|
111.8%
|
||||||
Clint Bowyer
|
13.2
|
5
|
85.6
|
77.4
|
110.6%
|
||||||
Austin Dillon
|
17
|
3
|
77.6
|
70.7
|
109.8%
|
||||||
Alex Bowman
|
29.33
|
3
|
45.9
|
42
|
109.3%
|
||||||
Kasey Kahne
|
20.4
|
5
|
95.7
|
88.1
|
108.6%
|
||||||
Ty Dillon
|
18
|
1
|
72.4
|
66.7
|
108.5%
|
||||||
Jeff Gordon
|
8.4
|
5
|
108.9
|
101.1
|
107.7%
|
||||||
Kyle Larson
|
8
|
3
|
93.6
|
88
|
106.4%
|
||||||
Jimmie Johnson
|
12.4
|
5
|
105.1
|
98.9
|
106.3%
|
||||||
Ryan Newman
|
12.6
|
5
|
89.9
|
84.7
|
106.1%
|
||||||
Casey Mears
|
19.4
|
5
|
66.1
|
62.5
|
105.8%
|
||||||
David Gilliland
|
27
|
5
|
50.3
|
48.7
|
103.3%
|
||||||
Jeb Burton
|
33
|
1
|
32
|
31
|
103.2%
|
||||||
Brad Keselowski
|
12.8
|
5
|
104.4
|
101.2
|
103.2%
|
||||||
J.J. Yeley
|
34.5
|
4
|
36
|
34.9
|
103.2%
|
||||||
Ryan Truex
|
26
|
2
|
36.2
|
35.3
|
102.5%
|
||||||
Brian Vickers
|
28
|
2
|
77.5
|
75.9
|
102.1%
|
||||||
Carl Edwards
|
22.8
|
5
|
86
|
86.5
|
99.4%
|
||||||
Marcos Ambrose
|
16.75
|
4
|
68.8
|
69.8
|
98.6%
|
||||||
Martin Truex Jr.
|
16
|
5
|
88.7
|
90.4
|
98.1%
|
||||||
Kyle Busch
|
15.4
|
5
|
87.2
|
88.9
|
98.1%
|
||||||
Jeff Burton
|
23.5
|
2
|
68.9
|
70.8
|
97.3%
|
||||||
Cole Whitt
|
26.33
|
3
|
44.2
|
45.6
|
96.9%
|
||||||
Josh Wise
|
32.6
|
5
|
37.3
|
38.5
|
96.9%
|
||||||
Matt DiBenedetto
|
32
|
1
|
36.5
|
37.7
|
96.8%
|
||||||
Joe Nemechek
|
39.67
|
3
|
29.1
|
30.3
|
96.0%
|
||||||
Alex Kennedy
|
36.33
|
3
|
30.4
|
31.7
|
95.9%
|
||||||
Jamie McMurray
|
10.6
|
5
|
86.3
|
90.1
|
95.8%
|
||||||
Trevor Bayne
|
24
|
1
|
52.2
|
55.2
|
94.6%
|
||||||
Denny Hamlin
|
14.8
|
5
|
86.8
|
93.2
|
93.1%
|
||||||
Joey Logano
|
12.8
|
5
|
95.9
|
104.5
|
91.8%
|
||||||
David Ragan
|
23.6
|
5
|
53.9
|
58.8
|
91.7%
|
||||||
Sam Hornish Jr.
|
41
|
1
|
52.7
|
57.9
|
91.0%
|
||||||
Aric Almirola
|
28.2
|
5
|
63.7
|
70
|
91.0%
|
||||||
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
|
27
|
5
|
57.1
|
63.3
|
90.2%
|
||||||
Brett Moffitt
|
30
|
1
|
37.2
|
41.7
|
89.2%
|
||||||
Kevin Harvick
|
8.8
|
5
|
107.5
|
121
|
88.8%
|
||||||
Reed Sorenson
|
30.5
|
2
|
40.4
|
46.7
|
86.5%
|
||||||
Danica Patrick
|
33.6
|
5
|
54
|
64
|
84.4%
|
||||||
A.J. Allmendinger
|
31.8
|
5
|
58.3
|
70.1
|
83.2%
|
||||||
Matt Kenseth
|
23.2
|
5
|
76.3
|
93.4
|
81.7%
|
||||||
Landon Cassill
|
33.2
|
5
|
38.9
|
48.2
|
80.7%
|
||||||
Michael McDowell
|
40
|
2
|
37.5
|
47
|
79.8%
|
||||||
Paul Menard
|
30.4
|
5
|
61.8
|
78
|
79.2%
|
||||||
Brendan Gaughan
|
40
|
1
|
24.8
|
32.1
|
77.3%
|
||||||
Johnny Sauter
|
43
|
1
|
27.8
|
39
|
71.3%
|
||||||
*100% is the same as average
|
