Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Quicken Loans #2: Our Picks and Discussion




Using the methodology discussed in our first post, I crunched some numbers for the Quicken Loans National this weekend.

The salaries for this article are those quoted on DraftKings. If you haven’t already – sign up here.
 
My Favorites

  • Justin Rose ($12,200 on DraftKings) – Rose is projected to win this tournament by Vegas and should perform really well.  If you can afford him in your lineups, he’s a must-pick.
  • Justin Thomas ($10,000) – Thomas has a very high eagle rate on par 5s (4.72%) which shouldn’t contribute too much on this course.  However, it does show how good he is on longer distance holes.  Thomas is 22nd on the tour in Strokes Gained Tee to Green (SG:T2G). For a detailed discussion of Strokes Gained, see our previous article. He’s not cheap this weekend but he’s worth it.
  • Brenden Steele ($9,400) – Brendan is another golfer who performs well on longer courses.  He ranks 16th on the tour in SG:T2G.  A slightly cheaper option than Thomas but both will contribute to your team this weekend.
  • Jason Bohn ($8,100) – Bohn is a cheaper option than the two golfers above.  He’s tied for 39th on the tour for SG:T2G and he’s ranked 5th overall in Birdie to Bogey Ratio.  He appears to be a good value mid-priced golfer for your lineups.

My Dislikes

  • Rickie Fowler ($11,700) – Fowler is the second highest priced golfer in this tournament behind Justin Rose.  However, he projects out to fall lower than both Jimmy Walker and Justin Thomas.  Rickie is ranked 53rd for SG:T2G and he’s pretty average on Par 4 holes.  He’s over-priced this weekend.
  • Bill Haas ($9,200) - Haas ranks 45th on the tour for SG:T2G and he’s projected to score below some of his cheaper options.  There are better options this weekend.

My Lineup
I entered the DraftKings $3 PGA tournament this weekend and my lineup is the following:

  • Justin Thomas
  • Jason Bohn
  • Tony Finau
  • Brendan Steele
  • Hudson Swafford
  • Steve Wheatcroft


Good Luck this weekend and ABI,

Rob

No comments:

Post a Comment