NASCAR’s Federated Auto Parts 400 – Post #1 Picks

We’re back again with this weekend’s NASCAR Federated Auto Parts 400 from Richmond, VA.  Richmond is another short track so prepare for lots of laps led from early positions.  

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My Favorites

·        Kevin Harvick ($11,400) – The last short track race (IRWIN Tools Race Night from Bristol), Harvick finished 2^nd after being held off by Joey Logano over the last 100 or so laps.  Harvick had 2 pit penalties which cost him big.  He looked the fastest and has put together a solid qualifying (6^th) earlier today.  Look for Harvick to be fast again and to finish at the top of the leaderboard.

·        Joey Logano ($10,400) – Previously mentioned, Joey held off Harvick to win the IRWIN Tools Race Night.  He qualified 1^st on Friday and looked quick again.  There’s no reason that he won’t finish high on Saturday.

·        Kurt Busch ($9,800) – Kurt finished 8^th in qualifying on Friday and he performs about 12% better than his average at Richmond.  I like his price and I like him to have a big race on Saturday.

My Dislikes

·        Jeff Gordon ($8,500) – Jeff might prove me wrong this weekend but he looked slow on Friday (he qualified 23^rd) and he was disappointed in his car as well as his driving.  Gordon is 12% better than his average at Richmond so he could have a decent performance.  What’s certain is that he won’t have the kind of front running performance you need from him this weekend.

·        Dale Earnhardt Jr ($8,400) – If you have Dale Earnhard this weekend, you’re making a big mistake.  He performs 8% worse than his average at Richmond and he qualified 29^th.  He’s overpriced and will disappoint.

·        Martin Truex Jr ($8,800) – Martin has been good to me in the past, however I don’t think he’ll continue that success this weekend.  He qualified 16^th and is 10% worse than his average at Richmond (worse on short tracks overall).  He’s not a great short track driver so you should avoid him this weekend.

Stay tuned tomorrow for full projections and optimal lineup.

Good luck and ABI,

Rob