PGA Frys.com Open – Post #1 Picks

We’re back from a couple weeks hiatus to head to Silverado Resort and Spa in Napa, California for the Frys.com Open.  This course is a hair shy of 6,800 yards.  It’s par 72, featuring 4 par 3s & 4 par 5s.  

Please note the salary information comes from DraftKings, if you don’t have an account, sign up here and get a free Millionaire Maker ticket worth $20. 

In addition, the betting odds used to make the projections come from Paddy Power (http://www.paddypower.com) while the golf statistics come from the PGA Tour website (www.pgatour.com).

My Favorites

·         Justin Thomas ($9,300) – Thomas projects to score the 2^nd highest 1 round total and Vegas has him finishing in 6^th place.  He’s 17^th on the tour with strokes gained tee-to-green, he’s 7^th on the tour in eagle rate and he’s 6^th on the tour in birdie average.  With the DraftKings scoring system, those stats add up to a big fantasy score and, at his price, he’s a great pick this weekend. 

·         Rory McIlroy ($12,800) – Rory is the betting favorite this weekend and projects out to have the highest overall fantasy score.  He will be held in a large percentage of lineups and his cost reflects that.  If you’re confident in the lower priced golfers in your lineup, you can definitely add Rory for the potential winning upside. 

·         Brooks Koepka ($10,600) – I seem always to have Brooks in my favorites.  He projects to have the highest 1 round score and is projected to finish 4^th by Vegas.  Brooks leads the tour in eagle rate, ranks 27^th in birdie average and ranks 15^th in total strokes gained.  He’s always in my favorites and I don’t see why he wouldn’t be this weekend.

·         Tony Finau ($9,200) – Tony is projected to finish 5^th this weekend by Vegas and that contributes a lot to his value, given his price point.  He ranks 7^th in birdie average, 40^th in eagle rate and 36^th in total strokes gained.  He’s not a bad price and if he can perform up to Vegas standards, he’ll be a nice fit in your lineup.

My Dislikes

·         Charl Schwartzel ($8,700) – Charl is projected to finish 8^th by Las Vegas odds and he rates to score almost 72 fantasy points (tune in later for full projections & lineup).  He ranks 123^rd in eagle rate, 82^nd in birdie average and 102^nd in strokes gained.  I’m not sure how he got up to the 8^th highest betting odds, but I’m staying away from him this weekend. 

·         Hunter Mahan ($8,600) – Hunter is projected to finish 12^th by the bookmakers and he rates to score 70 fantasy points.  He ranks 108^th in eagle rate, 103^rd in birdie average and 95^th in total strokes gained.  You can find better value elsewhere at the Frys.com open.

Stay tuned for full projections and optimal lineup later today.  Good luck this weekend and ABI.